Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ETH prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-04-20 0.015533 0.017318 0.019118 0.021062 0.023099 0.025164 0.027412
2025-04-27 0.011824 0.014590 0.017506 0.020781 0.024330 0.028039 0.032184
2025-05-04 0.009555 0.012791 0.016322 0.020399 0.024920 0.029732 0.035198
2025-05-11 0.008133 0.011721 0.015758 0.020525 0.025907 0.031717 0.038395
2025-05-18 0.006875 0.010687 0.015106 0.020436 0.026552 0.033238 0.040999
2025-05-25 0.005683 0.009604 0.014295 0.020076 0.026814 0.034266 0.042996
2025-06-01 0.004802 0.008812 0.013759 0.019973 0.027315 0.035516 0.045196
2025-06-08 0.003960 0.007981 0.013108 0.019679 0.027549 0.036425 0.046979
2025-06-15 0.003367 0.007421 0.012750 0.019699 0.028119 0.037690 0.049138
2025-06-22 0.002714 0.006701 0.012135 0.019366 0.028238 0.038410 0.050655
2025-06-29 0.002090 0.005936 0.011409 0.018851 0.028106 0.038813 0.051786
2025-07-06 0.001468 0.005065 0.010474 0.018024 0.027561 0.038704 0.052301
2025-07-13 0.001241 0.004862 0.010496 0.018477 0.028643 0.040588 0.055218
2025-07-20 0.000883 0.004347 0.010047 0.018311 0.028975 0.041604 0.057158
2025-07-27 0.000559 0.003784 0.009473 0.017940 0.029020 0.042253 0.058647
2025-08-03 0.000385 0.003488 0.009277 0.018060 0.029667 0.043612 0.060957
2025-08-10 0.000223 0.003129 0.008948 0.017976 0.030041 0.044630 0.062855
2025-08-17 0.000088 0.002698 0.008456 0.017638 0.030070 0.045216 0.064231
2025-08-24 0.000024 0.002395 0.008149 0.017542 0.030396 0.046153 0.066012
2025-08-31 NaN 0.002054 0.007734 0.017266 0.030473 0.046773 0.067408
2025-09-07 NaN 0.001842 0.007530 0.017285 0.030928 0.047850 0.069342
2025-09-14 NaN 0.001542 0.007117 0.016972 0.030929 0.048357 0.070585
2025-09-21 NaN 0.001225 0.006609 0.016489 0.030686 0.048547 0.071436